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Simple Linear Regression Explained - Python SKLearn

Linear regression is a fundamental statistical method used to model the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In this technique, there is a single independent variable, while in multiple linear regression, there are multiple independent variables.

Flow of Article:

  1. Mathematical Explanation
  2. Assumptions of Linear Regression
  3. Coding with Python 
  4. Significance of Coefficients and Intercepts
  5. Most asked Interview Questions.

 

You may also want to explore Logistic Regression, Transfer Learning using Regression, or Validation Techniques, or Performance Metrics.

 

Linear Regression Equation:

The general form of the linear regression equation is:

simple linear regression using python

Simple Linear Regression:

In this technique, there is only one independent variable, and the equation simplifies to:

Assumptions of Linear Regression:

  1. Linearity: The relationship between the independent and dependent variables is linear.
  2. Independence: Observations are independent of each other.

  3. Homoscedasticity: The variance of the residuals is constant across all levels of the independent variable.

  4. Normality of Residuals: The residuals should be approximately normally distributed.

 

Linear Regression in Python:

Now, let’s implement this in Python using the scikit-learn library:

Step 1: Import necessary libraries

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn import datasets

Step 2: Load the dataset

For this example, let’s use the diabetes dataset from scikit-learn.

# Load the diabetes dataset
diabetes = datasets.load_diabetes()
X = diabetes.data[:, np.newaxis, 2] # Use a single feature (column 2) as the independent variable
y = diabetes.target

Step 3: Split the dataset into training and testing sets and then define our model

 

# Split the data into training and testing sets
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)

# Create a linear regression model
model = LinearRegression()

# Train the model on the training set
model.fit(X_train, y_train)

Step 4: Make predictions and Visualise the results

 

# Make predictions on the test set
y_pred = model.predict(X_test)

# Plot the actual vs. predicted values
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color=’black’)
plt.plot(X_test, y_pred, color=’blue’, linewidth=3)
plt.xlabel(‘Independent Variable’)
plt.ylabel(‘Dependent Variable’)
plt.title(‘graph of regression’)
plt.show()

# Print the coefficients and regression equation
print(f’Coefficients: {model.coef_}’)
print(f’Intercept: {model.intercept_}’)

 

Significance of Model Coefficients and Intercepts

The significance of the model coefficients and intercepts lies in their ability to quantify the relationship between independent and dependent variables.

In the context of this using Python and the scikit-learn library, these coefficients and the intercept from the linear regression equation play a crucial role.

The coefficients represent the change in the mean of the dependent variable for a one-unit change in the corresponding independent variable, providing valuable insights into the strength and direction of the relationship.

The intercept, often denoted as beta, represents the estimated value of the dependent variable when all independent variables are zero. Interpretation of these values is fundamental for understanding the underlying patterns in the data.

As part of a regression model, these coefficients and intercept contribute to the predictive power of the model, aiding in making informed decisions and predictions.  Through careful analysis of the coefficients and intercept, practitioners gain valuable insights into the impact of independent variables on the dependent variable, enhancing the utility of the this analysis.

10 commonly asked interview questions on Simple Linear Regression:

1. Q: What is Simple Linear Regression?
– Simple Linear Regression is a statistical method that allows us to summarize and study relationships between two continuous variables. It assumes a linear relationship between the independent variable (X) and the dependent variable (Y).

2. Q: How is the equation of a straight line represented ?
–  The equation of a straight line is represented as (Y = mx + b), where (m) is the slope and (b) is the y-intercept.

3. Q: What is the purpose of the slope and intercept ?
–  The slope (m) represents the change in the dependent variable (Y) for a one-unit change in the independent variable (X), while the intercept (b) is the value of (Y) when (X) is 0.

4. Q: How do you assess the goodness of fit in Simple Linear Regression?
–  The goodness of fit is often assessed using metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R^2), which indicates the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent variable.

5. Q: What is the least squares method ?
–  The least squares method minimizes the sum of the squared differences between the observed and predicted values. It is used to find the best-fitting line by adjusting the slope and intercept.

6. Q: What is multicollinearity, and how does it affect this technique?
– A: Multicollinearity occurs when two or more independent variables in a regression model are highly correlated. In Simple Linear Regression, this is not a concern, as there is only one independent variable.

7. Q: Can the correlation coefficient be used to determine causation?
–  No, correlation does not imply causation. While a strong correlation between variables may suggest a relationship, it does not prove that changes in one variable cause changes in the other.

8. Q: What is the difference between correlation and regression?
–  Correlation measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables, while regression helps us model and predict the values of the dependent variable based on the independent variable.

9. Q: Explain the concept of residuals in Simple Linear Regression.
–  Residuals are the differences between the observed values and the values predicted by the regression model. Analyzing residuals helps assess the model’s accuracy.

10. Q: How do you handle outliers?
–  Outliers can significantly impact the model. It’s important to identify and, if necessary, address outliers through techniques such as data transformation or using robust methods.